Nebraska

Urban Model: Omaha

Dan Knauss offers this interesting take on Omaha, Nebraska.

Surbanites may not like it, but three cheers to Dan for offering it from his urbam perch in Riverwest.
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Obama Makes History in Nebraska , Wins One Electoral Vote (via Blog)

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OK, Nebraska, I posted Scott Kleeb's new ad and suddenly I know women who are ready to move...why would that be? (via Twitter)

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a message from Twitter
“OK, Nebraska, I posted Scott Kleeb's new ad and suddenly I know women who are ready to move...why would that be?”
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Presidential Forecast - 9/17 - a lagging indicator

Obama maintains the slimmest of leads, 270-268, an decrease of a 11 EVs from our last forecast. Bottom line, the state polls are still showing McCain's convention bounce, even as the national polls are starting to go Obama's way. We used to abuse our slow moving projections, FHQ, CNN, NBC and Rasmussen - now we love them. It's the sensitive projections, led by our friendly left blogs OpenLeft and 538, that give McCain his best numbers.

Colorado remains our tipping point state.

Map changes: Towards McCain: FL: T-> ML; NC, NC and SD, ML->M
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Presidential Forecast - 9/11 - This pig needs some lipstick

The state polls rolled in this week,and the results are pretty ugly. Obama leads 281-257, an decrease of a big 13 EVs from our last forecast. Movement across the board for McCain, and 3 projections now show Obama at 269 or less. Colorado is still our tipping point state, but it is now a pure Tossup.

Map changes: Towards McCain: GA, ND: ML->M. NM: OL->T. NJ, WA: O->OL. Towards Obama: WV: M->ML.

Please also check out our Senate Forecast and House Forecast.
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