Submitted by admin on Wed, 09/17/2008 - 20:30.
Obama maintains the slimmest of leads,
270-268, an decrease of a 11 EVs from our
last forecast. Bottom line, the state polls are still showing McCain's convention bounce, even as the
national polls are starting to go Obama's way. We used to abuse our slow moving projections, FHQ, CNN, NBC and Rasmussen - now we love them. It's the sensitive projections, led by our friendly left blogs OpenLeft and 538, that give McCain his best numbers.

Colorado remains our tipping point state.
Map changes: Towards McCain: FL: T-> ML; NC, NC and SD, ML->M
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